Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.347619 1.581972 1.825851 2.097113 2.388998 2.692351 3.030201
2025-01-19 1.047236 1.383255 1.753537 2.185507 2.669841 3.191092 3.789677
2025-01-26 0.912432 1.307256 1.759102 2.301901 2.925185 3.609018 4.407132
2025-02-02 0.813564 1.256242 1.780210 2.425451 3.180857 4.022296 5.016619
2025-02-09 0.749753 1.234770 1.825244 2.566942 3.448385 4.441499 5.625873
2025-02-16 0.670267 1.182615 1.824891 2.647793 3.640070 4.770260 6.129716
2025-02-23 0.580077 1.105220 1.784714 2.673367 3.760750 5.012600 6.530984
2025-03-02 0.461226 0.974058 1.665308 2.592453 3.746902 5.092621 6.740474
2025-03-09 0.355452 0.846919 1.540378 2.495641 3.706444 5.135443 6.901617
2025-03-16 0.281856 0.757363 1.458058 2.446637 3.719092 5.236656 7.126843
2025-03-23 0.243573 0.719492 1.444108 2.484137 3.837278 5.462697 7.497846
2025-03-30 0.207246 0.679360 1.423439 2.510131 3.939099 5.667662 7.842918
2025-04-06 0.157723 0.608982 1.357723 2.478423 3.973807 5.799901 8.113447
2025-04-13 0.143824 0.606346 1.394178 2.587580 4.191075 6.157887 8.657521
2025-04-20 0.134572 0.611435 1.441436 2.710818 4.425784 6.536634 9.225870
2025-04-27 0.128598 0.622642 1.498033 2.847221 4.678005 6.937613 9.821909
2025-05-04 0.126290 0.641627 1.566889 3.000978 4.953119 7.367264 10.453059
2025-05-11 0.113188 0.632825 1.589908 3.089144 5.142035 7.690090 10.955341
2025-05-18 0.092404 0.600195 1.571692 3.116900 5.250452 7.912241 11.335331
2025-05-25 0.060139 0.524613 1.476027 3.028886 5.202693 7.937413 11.474391
2025-06-01 0.033972 0.448808 1.372137 2.923414 5.127590 7.925190 11.565208
2025-06-08 0.019120 0.397533 1.306056 2.869973 5.119128 7.994052 11.752369
2025-06-15 0.013429 0.380842 1.302723 2.910873 5.238651 8.225208 12.139139